Time-lapse maps show how ‘most contagious Covid variant yet’ originated in UK

The most contagious form of Covid-19 still accounts for more than eight in 10 cases in England, official figures show, amid growing calls for a mask mandate and the return of free tests.

A total of 82.2 per cent of virus-positive bushes were tested in the week to July 16, according to data from the Sanger Institute, one of the UK’s largest surveillance sites. . This number is expected to increase since then.

Fascinating maps show how the highly transmissible subtype has swept the country in just two months and now completely dominates dozens of local authorities in England.

BA.5 is considered to be even more contagious than the already highly contagious original Omicron variant and its BA.2 offshoot, causing epidemics in the spring.

The latest official figures show that 3.1 million people in England had Covid in the week ending July 13, or around one in 17 people. This marks the highest number of infections since April 17 when 3.2 million were recorded, but was only 10 percent higher than the previous week, reflecting a clear slowdown in the outbreak’s growth.

And despite BA.5’s high infectivity, experts believe it’s just as mild as the original Omicron.

That hasn’t stopped some left-leaning scientists from calling for a return to pandemic-era prevention. Some have even raised the idea of ​​reintroducing restrictions on gatherings, echoing stricter policies imposed during the pandemic’s darkest days.

Despite calls from Number 10 to change the strategy, figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that Covid was only the 15th leading cause of death in June, accounting for only one of all deaths in England. is 1.6 percent.

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July 16

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Data from the Sanger Institute showed that BA.5 was behind 82.2 percent of all infections in the week to July 16 — a 50 percent increase in infections in the week to June 25. Since it was first detected in South Africa in February. He has expressed concern over the pace of his growth. Data from the Sanger Institute shows that its prevalence has nearly doubled every week.

Despite The Recent Spike In Cases, The Latest Figures Show Only A Small Increase In The Number Of Deaths Linked To Covid.  The Ons Recorded The Number Of Deaths From Covid-19, Where The Virus Was The Main Cause Or Contributing Factor, Rose To 506 In The Week Ending July 8.

Despite The Recent Spike In Cases, The Latest Figures Show Only A Small Increase In The Number Of Deaths Linked To Covid.  The Ons Recorded The Number Of Deaths From Covid-19, Where The Virus Was The Main Cause Or Contributing Factor, Rose To 506 In The Week Ending July 8.

Despite the recent spike in cases, the latest figures show only a small increase in the number of deaths linked to Covid. The ONS recorded the number of deaths from Covid-19, where the virus was the main cause or contributing factor, rose to 506 in the week ending July 8.

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60577995 11039149 Image A 11 1658498996179

Despite rising cases, Covid was only the 15th leading cause of death last month.

Despite a sharp rise in cases since May, ONS data shows no increase in Covid deaths in June.

The ONS analysis of monthly deaths for England and Wales found that the virus was the 15th and 19th leading cause of death last month respectively. In comparison, the virus was the sixth leading cause of death in both countries in May.

This means that 1.6% of all deaths in England in June and 1.4% of all deaths in Wales over the same period are due to Covid.

In contrast, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease were the leading causes of death in England, accounting for 10.8% of all deaths, while heart disease was the biggest killer in Wales, accounting for 10.7% of all deaths.

The latest weekly ONS data for deaths, which is national, shows that the number of deaths from Covid, where the virus was the main cause or contributing factor, rose by 506 for the week ending July 8. done This was up from 306 last week. .

However, the proportion of deaths from the virus where Covid was the main cause of death in England fell from 63.1% to 59% between May and June. For comparison, 95.2% of deaths from Covid in April 2020 were caused by the virus.

Immunity from previous exposure to the virus, along with the Covid vaccine, has been credited with reducing Britons’ chances of becoming seriously ill from the virus and therefore their risk of dying.

There is about a fortnight between someone being infected with Covid, potentially becoming seriously ill with the virus. And then possibly die. This means that deaths from the recent surge in cases have not yet been recorded.

Since BA.5 was first detected in South Africa in February, experts have been concerned about its speed of development.

Data from the Sanger Institute showed that the strain displaced the second Omcron progeny as the dominant strain in Britain by the week of June 18, when it accounted for more than 50 percent of all infections.

It has since continued its meteoric rise and now accounts for 100% of all Covid cases in large parts of England.

BA.4 — a separate but closely related Omicron substrain — continues to decline while BA.5 has increased. As of July 16, BA.4 now accounts for only 15.3 percent of cases, down from a peak of 23 percent on June 18.

BA.2, the previous dominant strain, is almost extinct, with only 2.5 percent of cases in England, down from 95.4 percent at the end of March.

Infections of this strain reached 467,201 in the week to March 26.

Every region of England also has hospital admissions for Covid, falling by a fifth in the South East – one of the first areas to ease the pressure.

Dr Kit Yates, a mathematical biologist at the University of Bath and an independent SAGE member, called for the reintroduction of previous pandemic restrictions and measures imposed on Britons.

While acknowledging the most recent spike now appears to be slowing, he said people should still be concerned about the high rate of infection.

On Saturday he wrote that the impact of future peaks could be countered by reintroducing masks and making lateral flu test kits free to Britons again.

“Everyone is protecting everyone else by wearing masks in shared indoor spaces like public transport and shops, but without government mandates or strong public health messages, we’ve seen most people volunteering,” he wrote on Twitter. are not inclined to do so.

Professor Christina Pagel, a mathematician at University College London and an IndieSage fellow, said earlier this month that wearing masks, especially high-quality ones, is vital.

Indiesage – a group comprising far-left scientists and an active Communist Party professor – had lobbied heavily for a Christmas lockdown but quietly relaxed its stance after the mild Omicron wave naturally subsided. And the NHS was not overwhelmed.

Ministers have so far resisted calls to reintroduce restrictions, instead announcing an autumn Covid booster campaign for elderly and vulnerable Britons to help prevent a potential winter surge in cases. This could increase demands on the NHS.

Figures From The Sanger Institute, One Of The Uk'S Largest Covid Surveillance Centres, Show That Ba.5 Has Increased Over The Past Few Months, Now Reaching 10 In The Uk In The Week To July 16. Out Of These, 8 Covid Cases Have Been Reported, Which Is More Than Five On July 16.  10 To 18 June.

Figures From The Sanger Institute, One Of The Uk'S Largest Covid Surveillance Centres, Show That Ba.5 Has Increased Over The Past Few Months, Now Reaching 10 In The Uk In The Week To July 16. Out Of These, 8 Covid Cases Have Been Reported, Which Is More Than Five On July 16.  10 To 18 June.

Figures from the Sanger Institute, one of the UK’s largest covid surveillance centres, show that BA.5 has increased over the past few months, now reaching 10 in the UK in the week to July 16. Out of these, 8 Covid cases have been reported, which is more than five on July 16. 10 to 18 June.

Ons Death Rates For The Virus, Adjusted For Age And Demographics, Show That The Current Level Of Deaths From The Virus Is Well Below Last Winter'S Deaths And Previous Waves In 2020. A Portion Of Those Recorded In

Ons Death Rates For The Virus, Adjusted For Age And Demographics, Show That The Current Level Of Deaths From The Virus Is Well Below Last Winter'S Deaths And Previous Waves In 2020. A Portion Of Those Recorded In

ONS death rates for the virus, adjusted for age and demographics, show that the current level of deaths from the virus is well below last winter’s deaths and previous waves in 2020. A portion of those recorded in

Covid Failed To Make The Top 10 Causes Of Death In England In June, Coming In At Just 15Th.  This Was A Significant Decrease From May, Where The Virus Was The 6Th Leading Cause Of Death.

Covid Failed To Make The Top 10 Causes Of Death In England In June, Coming In At Just 15Th.  This Was A Significant Decrease From May, Where The Virus Was The 6Th Leading Cause Of Death.

Covid failed to make the top 10 causes of death in England in June, coming in at just 15th. This was a significant decrease from May, where the virus was the 6th leading cause of death.

This Graph Shows The Number Of Deaths Directly Attributable To Covid In England And Wales.  The Number Of Deaths Currently Being Recorded In These Countries Is Much Lower Than Previous Waves Last Year And A Large Proportion Of Those Seen In Early 2021.

This Graph Shows The Number Of Deaths Directly Attributable To Covid In England And Wales.  The Number Of Deaths Currently Being Recorded In These Countries Is Much Lower Than Previous Waves Last Year And A Large Proportion Of Those Seen In Early 2021.

This graph shows the number of deaths directly attributable to Covid in England and Wales. The number of deaths currently being recorded in these countries is much lower than previous waves last year and a large proportion of those seen in early 2021.

Meanwhile, ONS figures published today show no increase in Covid-19 deaths in June despite a sharp rise in cases since May.

The ONS analysis of monthly deaths for England and Wales found that the virus was the 15th and 19th leading cause of death last month respectively. In comparison, the virus was the sixth leading cause of death in both countries in May.

This means that 1.6% of all deaths in England in June and 1.4% of all deaths in Wales over the same period are due to Covid.

In contrast, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease were the leading causes of death in England, accounting for 10.8% of all deaths, while heart disease was the biggest killer in Wales, accounting for 10.7% of all deaths.

The number of deaths from Covid-19, where the virus was the main cause or contributing factor, rose to 506 in the week ending July 8. This was up from 306 last week.

However, between May and June in England, the proportion of deaths due to the virus, where Covid was the leading cause of death, fell from 63% to 59%. For comparison, in April 2020, the virus was the primary cause of 95% of deaths from Covid.

Immunity from previous exposure to the virus, along with the Covid vaccine, has been credited with reducing the chances of Britons becoming seriously ill from the virus and reducing their risk of death.

10% rise in Covid cases in England… but ‘evidence that epidemic is on the rise’

According to official data, the spread of Covid in England is slowing down.

Analysts behind the country’s most reliable surveillance project, run by the Office for National Statistics, estimated that 3.14 million people were infected on July 13 – just 9% more than the previous week’s estimate. . For comparison, the increase implemented last Friday was about one-third.

Cautious statisticians said it was ‘premature to say’ if the tide was peaking.

But public health experts claim the worst is likely over, noting that mass testing surveys are ‘always two or three weeks behind the epidemic curve’.

Separate figures from NHS England show that admissions actually started to fall 10 days ago. Analysis by the Mail Online yesterday showed that rates are now falling in every area.

Despite the positive signs, some scientists have urged ministers to reintroduce the mask mandate and work from home.

Others have even raised the possibility of limits on social gatherings similar to the strict policies adopted during the dark ages of the pandemic.